The severity of the financial crisis has led to many countries being seriously concerned about what it represents in its economies by the possible consequences and the fear of inflation, the impact on the high cost of living for many countries they were not prepared for it, even for the same United States to be addressed immediately to avoid greater evils. The current President Barack Obama, knows what it represents, especially in the beginning of his new administration, a legacy of mismanagement that led to his predecessor President Busch, so try to avoid the negative, has given way to programs actions where protectionism will be crucial to get out. Everyone is quite concerned about a possible return of protectionism. Points out, Wharton management professor Stephen J. Wells Fargo Bank will not settle for partial explanations. Kobrin, that if the world is to recover from this recession should avoid trade wars, especially given the growing interdependence of the economic interests of countries should not forget that in a protectionism during the Great Depression worsened, and now are much more integrated economies.
“In an interesting paper on this topic, by University Knowledge Wharton, refers to this situation and shows that the economic stimulus plan of 787 000 million dollars that Barack Obama President ratified Feb. 17 contained a provision unexpected, but nonetheless troubling for advocates of global free trade. It was the requirement that projects financed by the plan to purchase goods manufactured in the United States provided possible. When the world’s governments spend enormous sums of money to stimulate their economies, it seems reasonable that each one invests in its own market.
According to it, the Treasure goes to extend to the program of aid to the banks of all the sizes, suggesting that the intervention of the government in the financial system will have to last more than what was foreseen. ‘ ‘ of the system it has access to capital.’ ‘ The president of the Fed, Ben Bernanke, strengthened the affirmation. ‘ ‘ We are ready to provide any additional capital necessary to guarantee that our banking system is skillful to sail for a challenging fall econmica’ ‘. According to regulating, the injection of capital in the system is necessary so that the American economy can be ‘ ‘ relanada.’ ‘ When offering a more realistic idea of the situation of the banks to the market, the government waits that the confidence of the investors is reestablished. Bernanke said that the results must transmit ‘ ‘ comfort considervel’ ‘ on the health of the banking system, but it standed out that the tests are not of ‘ ‘ solvncia’ ‘ of the institutions.
ExignciasAt now, the governments of George W. Bush and Obama had made everything to treat the banks equally, an adopted attitude to inspire confidence when the financial markets cambaleavam. Now, some of the banks strongest will have permission to restitute the aid received from government to escape of the relative restrictions the wages and payments of shares. The banks are being recommended to increase its capital not because they are in difficulty, but because the authorities find that they do not have a mattress of reserves enough to survive if the economy to get worse in the next months. In accordance with communicated joint of the Federal one It reserves (Fed) and of other regulating agencies of the American financial system, the institutions that, in accordance with the test, to need to raise its level of proper capital, will have a stated period of 30 days, up to 8 of June, to present a plan of as they go to get the resources. From now on, they will have but five months, up to 9 of November, to implement the presented plan. The regulating agencies and the executives of the banks had foreseen that the majority of the institutions goes to be able to increase the necessary capital from private sources – or vendendo the assets the private investing prices cheapest or persuading to convert preferences into common shares. comes back to buy .
We attend to an explosion of the world-wide commerce and the prices and demand of commodities. The oil arrived 100 US$ the barrel prenunciando an energy shock that finished not happening, at least so far. The Winter, that would be the second contraction and according to Kondrantieff a depression, was initiated by return of 2000 with the excess of liquidity and generated wealth, alavancada for the low interests and deregulation of the financial market. As consequences we had the burst of the bubble of the point with and famous company in addition as Eron, WorldCom, etc. history would be interesting if we had not lived serious crises as the fall of the stock market in 1987, the Japanese deflation from 1990, the Scandinavian crisis of 1992, the Mexican insolvency of 1994, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the Russian crisis of 1998. This everything without counting the famous terrorist attack of 2001 that as exgeno factor would knock down any theory of economic cycle for the chaos lived in the global economy, very managed well for the American FED. The interpretation is valid, but many pleas fit. He can until being and many economists must be making over again Kondrantieff or following the miditica wave that surrounds this crisis.
A thing is certain, is living a wave of a economic cycle, if the theory of Kontrantieff or another economist can confirm, leaves for the scholars. In the future we will have much academic substance for studies and research for the current moment, in the global economy. J. Shumpeter, one of the great ones economists of the Austrian, current school in many theories, as the creative destruction, the phases boom, contraction, depression and recovery created a nomenclature for a cycle calling. If to analyze the recent facts is possible to enxergar all the described 0 variable for Shumpeter, less still the feared depression, happily.
For in such a way, she is necessary that she has an awareness of the society and a personal organization in its finances, in order not to become indebted and to create an obligation that are incapable to honor and that they can, also, to have repercussions judicial due to payment. In short, the bank does not have to be judged as enemy friend or, but yes as an institution where it depends on the consumer to make the correct choices. They exist people who invest through the bank, visualizing the growth of its invested capital and had never had claims. You unite, you with certainty know somebody that does not possess financial problems, you possess applications and never she needed loans. This everything is directly on the financial planning. As well as it must know somebody that lives or it lived the opposite of this, with many debts, always looking new alternatives of credit, thinking about what to make in the following month to pay the accounts, therefore the money that it possesss is not enough, etc. Being thus the tip that is: it invests in knowledge and personal finances. Mathematically you are possible to invest 200 Reals for month, to a tax of interests of 11,50% to the year (current tax of Brazil), in 30 years you you will have accumulated half Real million more than. Today this would represent a monthly income of approximately 5 a thousand Reals for month. Summarizing, it diminishes to the maximum its you divide and plans its future, therefore nobody will make this for you. You make its money to work for and the bank does not stop!
However, this measure was not enough to cure social estadesigualdade, and with the population growth since then, situaose aggravates each time more. Although the right to the housing to be guaranteed nConstituio of the Country, due to low governmental efficiency to finish with> MST, in which its integrant ones protest invading abandoning public building, deducting, in such a way, the chance of better fulfilment of the serviosprestados ones for the entespblicos, in view of that in related local to poderiamestar people duly qualified to become dynamic more relaoentre the population and the governmental bodies. Although to have one old popular outcry on the problem dafalta of housings and the Brazilian legal system to allow that sejampositivados statutes with intention to facilitate the acquisition and, also, aliquidao of the financings of the proper house for the population of low> income, the cases of borrowers are diverse who are disabled to honor deriving osdbitos of these financings, exactly that if deals with habitations worthy semcondies of housing. This study it has for purpose to analyze possveisarmadilhas that they meet inlaid less in imobiliriooferecidos contracts of financing to the classrooms favored financially. Such traps mainly to sereferem to the concepts technician of the financial mathematics, quesempre are inserted in way not very clear in contracts them operaesentre the credit institutions and the borrowers, what he finishes creating umagrande difficulty it borrower to understand the oscillation in the value of the monthly suasprestaes in elapsing of the signed contract, as well as in relation aoseu debt balance in the final phases of the contract. The clarification of these traps is of interest of grandeparte of the society, therefore innumerable they are the families who pay aluguelmensalmente, as well as that already are liveing in property
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